QUOTE (SW03ES @ Oct 19 2009, 07:28 PM)

This is foolhardy IMHO.
I have put 135,000 miles on my ES300 which is similar in weight distribution, drivetrain, etc. I've also put 55,000 miles on our '04 Prius. I have NEVER had the front tires wear out before the back tires, they have always worn out all at the same time. If you think about it you never give them a chance to if you rotate them every 5,000 miles as per Lexus.
In fact I have done this with every other car I've ever had, Lexus or not and the result has been the same...all the tires wear down at the same time...never the fronts before the back or the back before the front.
I think the best thing to do is to do what Lexus says, rotate the tires every 5,000 miles and if your experience mirrors mine they'll all be ready for replacement at the same time. Anyways you're better off having 4 tires with similar wear and treadpatterns anyways than trying to replace two.
Well, on my 2005 BMW 330CIconv., the front tires wear out about 25-30% slower than the rear. On my old RX AWD, the front wore out a touch faster than the rears. I generally 'rotate' (i.e. front to back) at about 12,000 miles, and generally only do it once during the life of the tires. So far, in 45 years of driving, no problem. Re: the spare - 1. Given prevalent lack of full-size spares, no issue, or 2. Depending on the history of the tires (e.g. if you had to buy a new one sometime during their life, and it is a little less used), I will use the spare as the fourth tire when I change (i.e I buy three tires), and use the 'best' tire remaining for the spare. Given the little mileage one does on a spare and only in event of need, that has been sufficient. When it is necessary to change tires again, I buy four tires; the 'best' one goes to spare. It works.
Of course, this assumes that the same make/model/size of tire is available and used for the exchange. On the second go-around, you can change all running tires and keep the old spare if you wish. On the old RX, I changed all the Goodyear Integra (junk!) running tires for better tires.